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Russia is fighting in Ukraine against a broad coalition of NATO and the European Union, which are providing weapons, financial assistance, training, and strategic support. In this front, Ukraine is only one hand of the West through which it is trying to exert strategic pressure on Russia and force it to bend.
Historical Background
History testifies that the Soviet Union tried to avoid a wide-scale conflict like World War II, but war was imposed upon it. It suffered massive human losses and military damage, effects of which are still visible in its demographics and security balance today.
Since Soviet times Russia has sought to avoid large wars, but it does not tolerate Western interference near its borders or in its sphere of influence. After 1991, learning lessons from the Afghan war, it adopted a policy of staying away from conflicts as much as possible.
In 2008 and 2014 Moscow repeatedly warned against NATO’s eastward expansion, especially regarding efforts to bring Georgia and Ukraine into the Western fold. These moves increased the military threat near Russia’s borders and made it feel insecure. This formed the background for the 2022 war — a response Moscow deemed necessary for its long-term security interests.
Strategic Approach
To understand Russia’s long-running war in Ukraine and the limited use of advanced weapons, it is necessary to consider its geopolitical, industrial, military, and psychological thinking collectively.
This is not merely a border dispute, but a conflict between civilizations — where Russia is challenging the Western order and laying the foundations for a new multipolar world. Understanding this explains why countries like China, India, and Brazil have increased economic cooperation with Russia despite continuous Western pressure — it is not just about traditional ties.
Kremlin Strategic Thinking
For Putin this is not merely a war, but a question of “protecting Russia’s long-term existence.” The West has always chafed at the idea of a large and independent Russia — the same sentiment he has shown towards countries like India, China, Egypt, Yugoslavia, and Brazil.
Nuclear Restraint and Global Image
Despite losses, Russia has not used strategic nuclear weapons or weapons of mass destruction so far. It has only been giving “nuclear signalling” and repeatedly saying that there is still a chance to stop — do not invite devastation.
By exercising this restraint Russia presents itself as a “responsible power” — something the United States did not do after World War II, having shamefully dropped not one but two nuclear bombs on Japan to demonstrate its might.
Long War of Attrition
By 2025 this conflict has taken the form of a “war of attrition.” Russia believes that time is on its side — it will wear down Ukraine and its Western backers through economic fatigue and political instability.
This strategy is inspired by the West’s past wars — Vietnam, Iraq, and Afghanistan — where despite overwhelming resources and power, the West ultimately faced defeat. Putin now pursues a long-term victory through slow tempo, patience, and sustained pressure.
New “Hybrid War” Framework
The West is now operating under a strategy of “Permanent Hybrid War”, in which military, economic, energy, and informational tools are used in coordination to weaken Russia’s power.
However, in reality, the results appear to be the opposite — Russia is becoming stronger and more resilient. It is rapidly developing modern weapons. Despite being cut off from Western markets, Russia’s economy remains surprisingly stable. The reasons lie in its self-reliant policies and expanding partnerships across Asia.
Russia’s new hypersonic and nuclear cruise missiles have already shocked and alarmed the entire West — now there is no corner of the world beyond Russia’s reach.
In the near future, the West will likely have to accept Russia’s terms and step back temporarily, because colonial instincts don’t change easily. Those who did not learn from two world wars are still carrying the same old mindset — even when straightened, a dog’s tail turns crooked again.
America and Europe’s Moves – Burden Now Falls on Europe
For Putin this is not merely a war, but a question of “protecting Russia’s long-term existence.” The West has always chafed at the idea of a large and independent Russia — the same sentiment he has shown towards countries like India, China, Egypt, Yugoslavia, and Brazil.
Conclusion
Russia’s war policy is not based on swift strikes and rapid victory, but on long-term resilience and psychological endurance. It knows that this controlled prolonged war will eventually fatigue the West and force it to accept Moscow’s security terms.
This conflict is not merely a regional dispute, but Russia’s strategic effort to build a new multipolar world order. Russia initially prioritized the path of cooperation and partnership, but Western expansionist policies and economic pressures compelled it to adopt a broad defense strategy.
Though the European Union and NATO are two organizations, their members are almost the same. The European Union is essentially NATO’s economic face, implementing NATO’s expansion policy. Together they have prepared the backdrop for this war — and a potential world war.
- Russia is willing to cooperate, but it can never accept a state of servitude.
- History bears witness — Russia has thwarted every attempt to make it bow, however economically or militarily weak it may have been.
- Every next aggressor has paid a higher price than the previous one — and this testifies to its strategic resolve.
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